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Tropical Weather Service
Tropical-Scale-Discussion
Ontario, California
August 19, 2008– 7:30pm PDT
CURRENT - OFFICIAL

Very tough forecast on our hands as Fay is slowing down. I've run some wind field data, and it gets pretty interesting. Tracks show fay will go off the FL coast near the Canaveral area. Latest radar suggests this looks to be going Northeast.
Where it gets tough is where to next? All models show Fay going WNW. One thing is for certain though I believe the models will be wrong. Reason being is because Fay will sit off the FL Coast for a good day. My tracks are putting it doing a complete circle near Cape Canaveral, hitting the coast again at NASA , and back SE out to sea again until it moves back North. Where it goes is anyone's guess right now. It looks like some kind of stationary track will be the way to go for the next 24 hours as it circles NASA. Will report back in a day or so on this but will just bulls-eye the track due to this stationary movement in my readings.

Updates to come.

K. MARTIN

 


 

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OWS Tropical Weather Service
Southern California